sap course 1429293719

Course Code & Number:

ECON 432

Course Title:

Time Series

Level of Course:

BS

Credits:

(3+0+0) 3 TEDU Credits, 6 ECTS Credits

Catalog Description:

A variety of statistical models for time series. Main methods for analysing these models. Correlogram and a sample spectrum. Moving average (MA), Autoregressive (AR), ARMA and ARIMA models. Forecasts for a variety of linear methods and models.

Pre-requisites & Co-requisites:

Pre-requisites: ECON 332_O
Co-requisites: NONE
Year of Study: 
Senior
Semester: 
Spring
Mode of Delivery: 
Face-to-face
Language of Instruction: 
English
Course Type: 
Elective
Required Reading: 
1. Enders. W., Applied Econometric Time Series. 3rd Edition, John Wiley & Sons, New Jersey, 2010.
Course Objective: 

This course aims at presenting the main econometric methods, and their associated Stata commands, that can be used for the analysis of observational data which include surveys, firm data, or administrative data and can take the form of cross-section or panel data. This course relies on hands-on learning and offers a wide range of tools, which can be used in many research settings and topics, emphasizing applications and implementation procedures addressing real-world questions, econometric methods used in current empirical research.

Extended Description: 

Economic Models/Relationships/Expressions. Statistical Model. The Meaning Of Linearity. Data Types/Issues . Statistical Inference: Estimation. Inference: Hypothesis Testing. Confidence Intervals. The Multiple Regression Model. Dummy Variables. Examples of Model Variations. Box-Jenkins ARIMA Models. Seasonal ARIMA models. Unit roots. Cointegration. Granger causality. Vector Autoregression (VAR) models. Vector Error Correction (VEC) models.

Computer Usage: 
Students will use Stata and MS Office applications (Word, Excel, Access, Powerpoint) to work on their weekly assignments about 4 hours a week.
Learning Outcomes: 

Upon succesful completion of this course, a student will be able to
1. Demonstrate knowledge of, and a critical understanding of, the main concepts of time series analysis. 
2. Utilize methods used to produce forecasts and how to interpret the results of econometric estimations. 
3. Utilize Arch, Garch and other nonlinear time series models and their applications for modelling of financial data. 
4. Utilize time series data well, and perform basic calculations and summaries of time series data. 
5. Utilize and critically assess time series models fitted by computer packages and use a range of time series models to produce forecasts. 
6. Communicate meaningfully and productively with others (including practitioners and professionals in the financial services industry) on time series analysis issues. 
7. Be in a better position to critically evaluate your own work and the literature in management that uses regression analysis. 
8. Write an applied econometrics project and present the results to the class 
9. Gain a working knowledge of STATA. 

Planned Learning Activities and Teaching Methods: 
Telling/Explaining
Discussion/Debate
Questioning
Reading
Collaborating
Case Study/Scenarion Analysis
Guest Speakers
Web Searching
Assessment Methods and Criteria: 
Test / Exam
Quiz/Homework
Written Project
Presentation (Oral/Poster)

Student Workload:

Quizzes /Homeworks
40
hrs
Midterm Exam 1
16
hrs
Final Exam
16
hrs
Research Review
24
hrs

Prepared By:

Jülide Yıldırım Öcal

Revised By:

sap_editor